Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.989137 1.116059 1.254727 1.417745 1.604484 1.812109 2.060991
2024-12-29 0.796209 0.967491 1.170504 1.430025 1.754610 2.149287 2.668768
2025-01-05 0.676757 0.863132 1.096185 1.411223 1.829340 2.369889 3.129208
2025-01-12 0.595160 0.789306 1.042851 1.401638 1.901781 2.582365 3.592479
2025-01-19 0.514936 0.705191 0.962716 1.341275 1.891162 2.672574 3.888168
2025-01-26 0.476421 0.672259 0.946373 1.364032 1.994889 2.929291 4.450345
2025-02-02 0.445384 0.645761 0.934916 1.390219 2.103188 3.200685 5.064866
2025-02-09 0.414807 0.616354 0.915347 1.400463 2.185657 3.438086 5.651334
2025-02-16 0.387382 0.588752 0.895206 1.406464 2.259944 3.667577 6.250148
2025-02-23 0.367834 0.571276 0.888575 1.432360 2.367807 3.961875 6.996480
2025-03-02 0.337688 0.534288 0.847456 1.396786 2.366740 4.067463 7.411922
2025-03-09 0.323960 0.522643 0.846225 1.427928 2.483849 4.392517 8.278958
2025-03-16 0.301823 0.495733 0.818068 1.410863 2.515000 4.568500 8.889399
2025-03-23 0.287002 0.480042 0.807679 1.424399 2.603884 4.862975 9.781360
2025-03-30 0.268396 0.456272 0.781141 1.405564 2.628644 5.034579 10.438336
2025-04-06 0.252971 0.436888 0.760732 1.396031 2.669927 5.242633 11.202253
2025-04-13 0.231656 0.405397 0.716013 1.335934 2.603866 5.222373 11.450166
2025-04-20 0.223586 0.397440 0.713915 1.358591 2.708735 5.572763 12.604705
2025-04-27 0.216519 0.390786 0.713648 1.384662 2.823087 5.956330 13.896685
2025-05-04 0.207970 0.380699 0.706000 1.394860 2.904137 6.274784 15.076750
2025-05-11 0.199532 0.370225 0.696772 1.400835 2.976266 6.580788 16.272616
2025-05-18 0.193866 0.364736 0.696937 1.426617 3.095384 7.010725 17.865077
2025-05-25 0.182075 0.346360 0.669898 1.391200 3.069989 7.089625 18.512928